Q&A #63: Calculating Odds on the Flop – Count Both Cards or Just One?
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Today I answer one of the single most common poker questions I hear. Brian asks,
Should I calculate combined odds of hitting my outs on the turn and river OR just the odds of hitting my outs on the turn alone?
It’s a simple question with a semi-complicated answer. You have a draw on the flop. Someone bets, and you want to know how you should react. You count your outs, and now you need to turn those into odds to see what you should do. Say you have 4 outs. Your odds to hit your hand by the turn are 4/47 or 10.75-to-1. Your odds to hit your hand on either the turn or the river are
1 – (43/47 x 42/46) = 0.165 or about 5-to-1.
Which odds do you use – 10.75-to-1 or 5-to-1? It depends on how many cards you plan to see.
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Tags: drawing-hands, flush-draw, free-card, gutshot-draw, implied-odds, limit-holdem, no-limit-holdem, poker, pot-odds

Thank you, Ed. Very good explanation.