Q&A #56: A Set on the Turn in Limit Hold ‘em
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I’m still on my Mardi Gras vacation, so I’ll do a quickie today. Sets in limit hold ‘em are strong hands, and you should generally play them strongly even if a scare card or two comes. Here’s Sean’s question,
Ed, this might be worth some discussion on your blog …
$1/$2 – Limit online. I’m in LP with 3
3
.
There’s one limper ahead of me. I call. Unraised pot with six players seeing the flop.
K
3
J
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Jackpot! 3 checks to me, I bet, four players call.
T
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The turn is a scare card, completing a possible Broadway straight. Two checks to me, I bet. It’s raised and re-raised. I nervously cap the betting and it’s 3 players to the river.
T
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I make a full house, and breathe a sigh of relief. One check to me, I bet. The other two players call. I win a $42 pot.
One player had K
Q
; the other had actually outdrawn me on the turn with AQ.
Should I have played it differently on the turn? Obviously it worked out here … I was committed to the hand as soon as I made my set.
I think you played the turn fine, Sean. There’s no real reason to suspect a higher set (given the lack of a preflop raise), and otherwise the only hands that beat you are AQ and Q9. On the other hand, someone could easily be semi-bluffing with a draw (queen for a straight draw or a club or diamond flush draw) or have two pair. There are a lot more combinations of possible semi-bluffs and two pairs than there are hands that beat you, so I think you have a solid bet-cap for value. It’s especially true because your raise does cap it, so you aren’t exposed to losing even more if you do happen to be beaten.
The advice depends a bit on your opponent. Some players (especially some cautious live players) would 3-bet the turn only with a straight or possibly a set, but not two pair. Against one of those players, capping would be out of line. But against anonymous online $1-$2 players, I think your easily against ranges broad enough to give you a value cap on the turn.
In general, don’t worry too much about overplaying a set. Obviously you can do it, but if there’s no obvious flush or four-straight on board, your opponent’s raises will usually be two pair (or less).
Tags: limit-holdem, online-poker, poker

Thanks for putting this hand up, Ed.
If anything, I wonder if I could have attempted to check-raise the flop to suck more players in for the later streets?