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Q&A #122: A Top Pair Facing Pressure On The River

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For today’s column I examine a hand played by wahoointexas and posted on the message board. Here’s what wahoo had to say:

Appreciate any advice as to the way this hand was played, and what you think is the correct move on the river is in this situation.

Live 2/5 NL, 9 handed

I am dealt UTG A :spade: Q :club: and raise to $20, 1 player in MP calls for $20, Button calls for $20. Pot is around $61 after rake. Approx $500 stacks for all three players.

Flop: Q :spade: 9 :club: 5 :diamond:

I bet $50. MP player calls $50. Button folds. Pot now $161.

Turn: 5 :heart:

I check to control pot size (correct play or not?). MP player bets $100. I call. Pot now $361.

River: 3 :club:

I check again. MP player goes all in for $295. Call or fold?

History on MP player: have played with him for 5 hours this session and he is pretty tight passive, haven’t noticed any particular aggressiveness up to this point. Have not yet seen him push all-in, this is definitely his largest bet all evening.

My thoughts: Perhaps I could have put out a bet on the turn or river, but if I do and he pushes, I would be in a similar spot. With him calling my PF raise and flop bet he must have something, with 99 standing out in my mind as his most likely holding, as I might play 99 in this way on this board that has few draws, although with 99 he might bet smaller on ther river to get some value. The only possible missed draw here is JT. Have trouble imagining him having KQ, although it is possible, perhaps he also has AQ. I think a slow-played KK is unlikely due to no PF raise, but possible given that live players sometimes slowplay these hands. The other most likely scenario to me is that he is bluffing with a hand like JJ or QJ since I have checked the turn and river, showing weakness.

So, call/fold on river? What is his hand range? And was this played correctly with TPTK?

I think this hand is interesting because it could go so many different ways against various different opponents. On this particular hand, as played, I would fold the river. But I probably wouldn’t have played the hand the same way.

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10 Responses to “Q&A #122: A Top Pair Facing Pressure On The River”

latestbuzz
@ Mon Jan 19, 2009 04:08:01 PM
1

Thinking about it I would have stayed showing strong after the flop and bet cause he wasn’t raising, just calling. when you checked twice he most likely was trying to play the ace and forced you to fold.If he raised after you bet the flop then he probably did have the ace. but than again you were playing with em for five hours.

Poker Villain

wahoointexas
@ Mon Jan 19, 2009 09:08:43 PM
2

Thanks for the comments Ed… it looks like your approach was similar to the line I took, with the exception of favoring a blocking bet on the river assuming a check on the turn. My other approach playing the hand would be to bet small on turn and river. Sometimes might even check-raise the flop to let the button bet at it if he chose.

Seems that TPTK is rarely good in live games getting called by a tight player post-flop and then getting bet into. Anyway, in reality this is what happened:

After some thought I folded to his river bet with my AQ face up, and said “I guess you have me beat” and he looked sheepish and thought for a minute and floored the table when he turned up TT. That sure got everybody excited! I gave him credit for a great bet at the end, it was completely out of character for him based on how he had been playing. So chalk one up for the opponent, he made a good play. Everyone was quite surprised. Maybe he’d been playing us for 5 hours, who knows? Or maybe he just had bad cards when I was paying attention this session, or maybe he was just bored. ;) Oh well, I’ll get him next time.

Despite the results in this particular case, I like the idea to bet a little smaller on the flop here, but only negligibly so – about $40 instead as you indicate. This gives me a little more flexibility for the next 2 streets, and I could easily get value from KQ, QJ, QT, or – usually – TT. ;)

Skipatore
@ Tue Jan 20, 2009 05:50:30 AM
3

This hand started to scare me as soon as he made it $20 to go under the gun. In my B&M 1/3 game I’ve found myself limping in with AK. Am I giving up too much value limping with hands like these UTG?

threads13
@ Tue Jan 20, 2009 10:33:33 AM
4

Skipatore,

Probably. People will tend to call big raises with dominated aces in games like this.

On another note… I’ve recently been taking lines like betting 1/3 the pot and such on the turn and river more frequently against opponents like Ed is suggesting. Nice to see that backed up.

toebori
@ Thu Jan 22, 2009 11:51:32 AM
5

wahoointexas,

i am curious as to whether anything in your recent play leading up to this hand could have accounted for villain’s “out of character” line?

Chimera
@ Fri Jan 23, 2009 04:42:01 AM
6

I’m a little confused by some of the hands that you seem to include as part of the MP player’s range. The MP player is described as a “tight” player and so it would stand to reason that he would need a fairly strong hand to call a (fairly large) UTG raise in a 9-handed game. Yet you seem to think that he would make this call with some very weak (and likely dominated) hands, such as A5, Q9, etc.

Admittedly, I’ve never played live, and so I’m not sure exactly how “tight” live players play. But if tight live players will cold call an UTG raise with A5, what would it take for them to be considered loose? Cold calling raises with 72? If live games are really that good, why waste time with game selection? Just find a game full of “tight” players who cold call raises with garbage.

badlilmonkey
@ Sat Jan 24, 2009 09:09:09 AM
7

I just got done reading Ed’s article on Limiting Turn Calls. Is this not a fair approximation of that article?

Eric
@ Thu Jan 29, 2009 06:07:28 AM
8

IMO, your first mistake, was playing AQo from UTG.

But, since you did play it, I’d go $40 on the flop, then 100 on the turn.

Eric
@ Tue Feb 03, 2009 02:08:17 PM
9

Chimera,

Where do you play and what’s your username? I’d love to play you ;)

Chimera
@ Wed Feb 04, 2009 10:03:08 PM
10

Eric,

If you really fold AQ from UTG and cold call UTG raises with A5, I doubt you have much money left, so you should just donate the rest of it to charity. There are other people who need it more than I do.

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