Q&A #122: A Top Pair Facing Pressure On The River
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For today’s column I examine a hand played by wahoointexas and posted on the message board. Here’s what wahoo had to say:
Appreciate any advice as to the way this hand was played, and what you think is the correct move on the river is in this situation.
Live 2/5 NL, 9 handed
I am dealt UTG A
Q
and raise to $20, 1 player in MP calls for $20, Button calls for $20. Pot is around $61 after rake. Approx $500 stacks for all three players.
Flop: Q
9
5
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I bet $50. MP player calls $50. Button folds. Pot now $161.
Turn: 5
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I check to control pot size (correct play or not?). MP player bets $100. I call. Pot now $361.
River: 3
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I check again. MP player goes all in for $295. Call or fold?
History on MP player: have played with him for 5 hours this session and he is pretty tight passive, haven’t noticed any particular aggressiveness up to this point. Have not yet seen him push all-in, this is definitely his largest bet all evening.
My thoughts: Perhaps I could have put out a bet on the turn or river, but if I do and he pushes, I would be in a similar spot. With him calling my PF raise and flop bet he must have something, with 99 standing out in my mind as his most likely holding, as I might play 99 in this way on this board that has few draws, although with 99 he might bet smaller on ther river to get some value. The only possible missed draw here is JT. Have trouble imagining him having KQ, although it is possible, perhaps he also has AQ. I think a slow-played KK is unlikely due to no PF raise, but possible given that live players sometimes slowplay these hands. The other most likely scenario to me is that he is bluffing with a hand like JJ or QJ since I have checked the turn and river, showing weakness.
So, call/fold on river? What is his hand range? And was this played correctly with TPTK?
I think this hand is interesting because it could go so many different ways against various different opponents. On this particular hand, as played, I would fold the river. But I probably wouldn’t have played the hand the same way.
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Tags: 2-5-no-limit, bluffing, live-games, no-limit-holdem, poker, top-pair

Thinking about it I would have stayed showing strong after the flop and bet cause he wasn’t raising, just calling. when you checked twice he most likely was trying to play the ace and forced you to fold.If he raised after you bet the flop then he probably did have the ace. but than again you were playing with em for five hours.
Poker Villain