Beware The Ides Of March Update

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18 Responses to “Beware The Ides Of March Update”

Pipapoker
@ Sat Mar 15, 2008 05:58:00 AM
1

Hi Ed,

in your last post about online poker I accused you of being unhonest to us readers to promote stoxpoker with your unbelievable good stats. Now, I have to apologize. Maybe it was really some sort of “beginner’s” luck ;) Keep on posting on your online career. I love that stuff, people posting their charts and financial fortunes!

Pawel
@ Sat Mar 15, 2008 07:10:28 AM
2

Hey!
When I used to play limit, I’d built my bankroll up the limits with help of online bonuses from the lowest microstakes up to $1/$2. There were times I only was able to keep playing for I had the bonus money. That was driving me crazy. But it was beautiful in the end to have enough to play at $2/$4 (enough money and probably enough skill in relation to my opponents) (anyway at that point I quit :-) )
I remember staring at a limit table once, when I was just starting, and you know - $25 pots which was just a load of money to me… to win it just at one time… I was staring at that with amazement, not really thinking that in relatively short time I would be playing in such games.
What I miss is the comfort of playing at stakes which are significant but yet easily affordable.
Pawel

Pawel
@ Sat Mar 15, 2008 07:12:14 AM
3

BTW Ed - maybe you wish to hide your profile name from the stats in the article?

MrAmbiguous
@ Sat Mar 15, 2008 07:57:33 AM
4

nice one ed

what a drop and downfall you had at the start eh …but you stuck it out and came through at the end which is the most important thing…pat on the back*

so what you planning on doing just keep moving up and up? or are you comfortable and happy at a certain level?

Greyzy
@ Sat Mar 15, 2008 09:50:17 AM
5

Hi Ed,

I’d like to hear more about your experiences regarding multitabling. Reading that you are “6- and 7-tabling the $200NL” makes me wonder how you (or anybody else) can manage to follow the action properly.

Can you give us any advice? I.e. what you focus on; what you do NOT focus on; if you use notes (if so during play or off-line?); if you regularly analyze your opponents afterwards; if you use a HUD (which one and especially which stats); how long your sessions are; whether you take breaks; if/why you decide to leave a table early;… I could go on and on, but I leave it up to you to post what you think is important! :-)

Thanks for sharing your experiences with us!
Greyzy

Greyzy
@ Sat Mar 15, 2008 10:10:15 AM
6

Oh,

and here’s a corresponding video to your headline: http://youtube.com/watch?v=1kG_CSfZNMk

Brings back the memories of the early 80’s when I was young… :-)

SimaoMacaco
@ Sat Mar 15, 2008 04:41:40 PM
7

Interesting but meaningless sample size.. post something after 200k please then we see how things look :p

JJS
@ Sat Mar 15, 2008 08:35:26 PM
8

Greyzy>”Reading that you are “6- and 7-tabling the $200NL” makes me wonder how you (or anybody else) can manage to follow the action properly.”

Simple. He does the exact same thing that people who 12-table are doing, only he just does less of it. :)

Greyzy
@ Sun Mar 16, 2008 03:08:30 AM
9

JJS,
I have always valued your posts, but this one was just…

… gorgeous!!!! Thanks to you I now know how to become a millionaire: just do the exact same thing as Bill Gates, only that I need to do less of it! :-)

Steve Boyd
@ Sun Mar 16, 2008 04:42:27 PM
10

How much did you follow your own advice while doing all of this? i.e. Did you strictly adhere to your (excellent) no-limit starting hands series of posts you did earlier? Or did you do what i do and start limping in with funny hands like 68o in mid position cos they have a weird habit of taking pots (i casually play NL5)

Ed Miller
@ Mon Mar 17, 2008 12:07:35 PM
11

Steve,

To the extent that I tilt, it’s not that I start limping in with weak hands. If anything, I get a little bit too aggressive a little too often a little too light. And I sometimes don’t fold medium-strength hands when I should and would if I weren’t tilting a little.

Honestly, limping in middle position with 86o isn’t that bad as long as the game isn’t too aggressive and you’re going to play it ok postflop. Obviously if the game is aggressive, most of the time you’ve just thrown away that limp money (unless you start calling the raises which does end up pretty bad).

Hotbot
@ Tue Mar 18, 2008 03:10:56 AM
12

Dear Ed,

Have you been playing a short stack strategy during this experiment? Also, do you adapt your strategy for multi-tabling so that it is easier to execute?

Ed Miller
@ Tue Mar 18, 2008 01:48:46 PM
13

Hotbot,

No, I’ve been playing exclusively 100BB stack 6-max games. Though after a few more months of the 100BB games, I may play some short stack for a while. I’ve been on-again-off-again writing some software to calculate a fairly strong and complete 20BB short stack strategy.

It’s difficult to calculate an optimal strategy due to the 6-handed nature of the game, but using some basic assumptions about how people tend to respond to the various plays a 20BB player will make (namely raise preflop, jam 3-bet over a preflop raise, jam flop, etc.) I’m hoping to get a practical strategy that should perform not too far off from what an optimal strategy would perform.

Then I can use some of the data from actually playing the strategy to refine my assumptions and (hopefully) improve the strategy. I know some other guys have gone through exactly this process already and are 20BB stacking successfully at fairly high stakes. But, to my knowledge, so far no such strategy has been published.

TFGoose
@ Wed Mar 19, 2008 12:27:31 PM
14

Hi Ed,

Perhaps I’m reading this wrong, but it seems like you’re walking along the edge of a cliff with your online bankroll here. You stated that you started off with $500 and 4-tabling $50NL. I know you’re a strong player but, as you learned in your 200NL sessions, Lady Luck can be quite vengeful at times. For that reason, I have a hard time with the idea that you’re buying into no-limit games for 1/10th of your bankroll. I know you can reload if you want, but I think the spirit of your experiment relies on you doing this without making any deposits, right?

Anyway, from your first chart it looks like you made about $1100 playing 50NL, but then you’re taking your $1600 bankroll and sitting 200NL? Maybe I’m too much of a nit but, if I’m reading this right, it seems like you’re living awfully dangerously here.

–TFGoose

RobWilco
@ Wed Mar 19, 2008 01:14:53 PM
15

Ed, First let me say that your entire website is as awesome as your books. I read “Getting Started in Hold’Em” in 2005 and “Small Stakes” in 2006 and I give them a lot of credit for helping me improve.

Now, more specifically to this topic: I myself was a live player, first in home games, then casinos, almost exclusively for my first 3 poker playing years (04-07). I first started playing online around Dec. 06, HATED it, and quit after a couple of months. Someone else convinced me to give it a try a few months later, and I warmed up to it. Don’t know why the change.

Like someone else posted earlier, I attempt to simulate the “live experience” as much as possible by only playing one table at a time. I know this is hurting my “winrate”, but I play more for fun than anything else. Also, like you, I am in the middle of a growing an “organic” bankroll experimentally. I started playing PS on the very smallest microlimits (I’m talking .02/.04 here!). My starting BR at end of Nov. was $12 and I’ve since improved it to almost $50 (I’m now playing at .05/.10). I think there’s something liberating out of being able to move up stakes and build a BR out of only winnings.

Anyway, just some kudos from a faithful reader. Keep it up!

Ed Miller
@ Wed Mar 19, 2008 02:08:51 PM
16

TFGoose,

I definitely was risking ruin a lot at the beginning when I played 50NL. For me, I have to balance the “don’t deposit” goal with the “maintain interest” goal. So I set an arbitrary limit for myself that I wouldn’t play below 50NL, and I would and will reload if necessary to keep me in action at that level. So, as of now, if my bankroll ever dips below $1k, I’ll probably reload up to that amount to play comfortably at 50NL.

Also, I had $2k when I moved up to 100NL… miscellaneous money goes in and out of my Full Tilt account sometimes which would account for the discrepancy. I had about $4.4k when I took my first shot at 200NL, and it took me two drop downs to 100NL to get up and stay up (assuming I do stay up.. :) ).

I plan to wait until I have about $10k before I try my first shot at 400NL.

TFGoose
@ Fri Mar 21, 2008 02:55:55 PM
17

Ed,

Thanks for the reply. I can certainly understand the need to maintain interest. I just wanted to make sure I didn’t have a seriously misguided view of what levels to play as a function of bankroll size. I’m really just starting my foray into the realm of cash games (I’m primarily a SNG and MTT player), and happen to be doing so with a starting bankroll of $500, so this article was particularly interesting to me. I’m a winning tournament player, but anyone I talk to tells me cash games are soooo much more sustainable and that I need to jump on board.

The main difference in my thought process is that tournaments afford you the opportunity to use a relatively small buy-in for a chance at a large payout. Once you put up that buy-in, the pressure is off. You can’t lose any more than that, so you just try to make +EV decisions and hope your luck holds out to the final table.

In cash games though, in order to make any kind of profit that means something to you, you pretty much have to risk an amount of money that ALSO means something to you. Case in point, I can play a $10 180-man SNG on Stars, and potentially win $520 for a few hours work. However, a few hours work on a $10NL cash game table would, at best, net me only 10 or 20 bucks in profit. To get a return of a few hundred dollars, I have to play $50 or $100NL cash games. The problem is, if I have a bad cash session at that level, I lose a hundred bucks or more. Whereas if I bust out of the tournament, I lose $10.

Granted, I know that there are going to be plenty of occasions where I win or lose “in-between amounts” at both tournaments and cash games. But the point is, the risk vs. reward comparison for the amount of time invested in each leaves me feeling more comfortable with tournaments. And yet, everyone says cash games are where the money is…

Sigh, anyway, this is the vice in which I find myself. :-)

–TFGoose

Pim
@ Thu May 08, 2008 09:38:02 AM
18

When do we get another update on your internet results Ed?

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