Message Board : SSLH: Is it really a bad raise on the turn?

Hi everyone,

 I have posted the following hand at 2+2 and everyone said it was a bad raise and suggested call down to the river. Is it really so bad?

UTG+1 played only 2 hands at the table, so I had no reads about him (her).
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $1/$2
6 players

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with kd ac
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, CO folds, Hero raises, 2 folds, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: 6d 9c kc (5.5SB, 2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets, UTG+1 calls.

Turn: 7h (3.75BB, 2 players)
UTG+1 bets, Hero raises, UTG+1 re-raises, Hero folds.
Uncalled bets: 1BB returned to UTG+1.

Results:
Final pot: 7.75BB

My thought:  After his donkbet on the turn I had only 4.5-1 odds (excl. rake) to call. If he had 2 pair or better I would fold (Because I had 8-9 outs to beat 2 pair. But all of them won't make the nuts. So I had only about 6.5-7.5 outs) If he had only Kx or semibluff, I would raise. So I would either raise or fold. Because my effective odds was only 5.5-2 when I called down to the river, I don't think call down was a good play.

Then I thought if he did have 2 pair or above, why didn't he check-raise? So I decided to raise and would check or call depending on the river. But he 3-betted!!! Then I folded. I thought he had 15% Kx, 45% 2pair, 20% straight and 20% set, then I folded.

Where is the mistake in my thought?

Yuck.  That sucks getting 3bet on the turn.  But without a read on this player, I would have to call down from there and see what he has.  He could have the nuts, but he could also have a semi-bluffing hand, a worse made hand than yours, or a 2 pair hand that you could draw out on.

I like the turn raise for 2 reasons:

1.  The turn card presents a good opportunity for him to semi-bluff donk, so a raise will make him pay to get there.  If there were no draws on the board, I might be more inclined to call down instead of raise.

2.  You have top pair top kicker in a heads up pot, so getting 2 bets on the turn is usually going to make you money. 

He may have a set four ways: would have to have 66, 99, 77 or KK. Pocket Kings are very unlike, so if he has 66, 99 or 77 we are drawing slim to only two outs (two K); any King on the river will give us bigger set.

Pawel 

Oops!

You're right, sorry…