I witnessed this hand recently, and would be curious to folks input. It was a small buy-in tourney. I was eliminated, and was dealing the bubble. 4 players remained as the blinds beat up the stacks.
Player A - Best player remaining (since I was dealing
) Aggresive, imaginative, knows the game well. Chip leader with 35 BB
Player B - Average 11 BB stack
Player C - Tight, straightforward player 20 BB
Player D - Uber Tight, Calling station at times. He had ~20 BB as well. If he enters preflop, he has a hand, and almost never folds until he sees the flop.
The Hand:
Player C folds
Player D opens the betting for 3x BB. He clearly has a hand. Pocket pairs and well related overs are most likely.
Player A folds
Player B finds AK in the BB, and moves all in. Player D calls and rolls 88.
The flop is Q J x…it does not improve for Player B, and he is eliminated.
My feeling was this: Given the calling station mentality of Player D preflop, and the Uber-tightness post flop, that a call for Player B might be a better play here, because it gives a better, scarier opportunity for Player D to fold. Call the preflop bet, the shove the flop, like an OOP stop-and-go. All the chips are going in regardless.
I pondering this conclusion regardless of the actual results (the board with a Q and J are perfect for this one hand), but I am more thinking about a random flop. All unders to the 8’s would get called…a board with and A or K might not (which would really be unfortunate for Player B). This is ONLY against Player D. Is the OOP stop-and-go worth it for some fold equity? Or is it simply always, always shove time?