I had a tough hand recently that I probably misplayed. Interested to get others’ reactions.
It was a home game, 1-2 NL cash. In the hand in question, effective stack sizes were about $400. A laggy early position player raised to $7, an aggressive and somewhat loose player in middle position called, and I called from a blind with 45s. My image is generally tight. Pot is $22 now.
The flop came 45T rainbow giving me bottom two pair. I checked, EP led out for $20 and MP raised to $80. MP loves to semibluff with draws, but he generally doesn’t raise with air. I put him on either an OESD or a strong made hand (how strong exactly I don’t really know).
I didn’t really know what to do here. I felt like any raise would pot commit me, and that my opponents would play perfectly in response - they would fold any hand that I beat, and call any hand that I was behind. I elected to just call, intending to lead out on a safe turn. EP folded. Pot is $202.
Unfortunately, the turn was a 3 - 67 was a hand I thought quite consistent with MP’s play given his fondness for semibluffs. So I checked, and MP made a smallish bet of, let’s say, $80. I don’t think this is a bluff, but I think he can still have just one pair, so I call. Pot is $362.
The river is a K. I check-call another small bet of $120 or so.
Turns out he had KT and rivered me.
I did some analysis of this hand afterwards, and it appears that if he’s consistently raising AT and KT on this flop in that spot, then I can profitably push. His range in that scenario would be sets, OESDs, AT, KT and 45. In fact, though, I think he’ll sometimes call with a hand like KT or even AT, so I don’t know.
I think I can also consider reraising the flop and folding to a push. People don’t usually recommend putting in half your stack and then folding, but I can’t see him re-re-raising a tight player with anything that I beat.
I could also lead out on this flop. Normally I would do that; not sure why I didn’t here. I did feel confident with two aggressive players behind me that I would get some action if I checked.