The No-Limit Toolbox — The Flop Overbet Semibluff

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Simple Poker Tips from Noted Poker Authority The No-Limit Toolbox is a new series that showcases the array of tactics available to no-limit players.

The Play: The Flop Overbet Semibluff

How It Works: You flop a draw. Your opponent bets, and ...

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16 Responses to “The No-Limit Toolbox — The Flop Overbet Semibluff”

Chris
@ Mon Jul 02, 2007 04:34:20 PM
1

Nitpick: isn’t the pot in your example $60? ;-P

Ed Miller
@ Mon Jul 02, 2007 04:47:48 PM
2

It’s $90 after your flop call. The preflop pot is $15 + $15 + $2 (the $2 gets raked lets say). The flop bet is $30, and you call $30 and raise $170 more. So it’s a $170 raise into a $90 pot.

It’s a very reasonable way to view it, because you’re definitely at least calling the flop with the nut flush draw.

Ed Miller
@ Mon Jul 02, 2007 04:49:07 PM
3

BTW, in general when people say, “pot-sized raise,” they are similarly counting the amount needed to call as part of the pot when they calculate the raise size.

James
@ Mon Jul 02, 2007 05:49:20 PM
4

Are you sure about your last definition, Ed? I could be wrong, but I’ve always seen the size of the pot defined as the size of the pot when it gets to you.

James
@ Mon Jul 02, 2007 05:55:45 PM
5

Looking at the language more closely, I’m guessing that you’re looking at it from the perspective of the opponent, who will need to call $170 to win a $90 pot. But normally, when I think of a PSR, if the pot is $60 when it gets to me, I will bet $60 for a PSR. Semantics, I suppose. I still like the example and love this series, so please carry on, Ed. Looking forward to the new book.

BTR
@ Mon Jul 02, 2007 10:20:58 PM
6

Pot limit games define a pot sized raise as a call + a bet the size of the pot after the call.

SidMaynard
@ Tue Jul 03, 2007 07:32:39 AM
7

James, I don’t think it is semantics, as the difference in your definition has a significant impact on the odds you would be setting your opponent.

In the example above, Ed would bet $120 total for a PSR, meaning the villain had to pay $90 into a $180 pot. Whereas you state you would bet $60 for a PSR raise meaning the villain had to pay $30 into a $120 pot.

That’s a big difference in pot odds, which is why you look at the size of your raise as the bet your opponent will be facing. In the above example, your PSR would only be a min raise, which I’m sure you wouldn’t do.

Greyzy
@ Tue Jul 03, 2007 08:27:26 AM
8

I never really thought about this definition before, but including the “call-part” of your bet makes sense, now that you mention pot odds. By this definition a PSR lays 2-to-1. ALWAYS! And that’s probably why PL exists as a middle-way between NL and limit: put a cap to how “bad” the odds are that you can possibly lay.

Just my 2 cents. ;-)

James
@ Tue Jul 03, 2007 12:37:21 PM
9

I thank you guys for the clarification, and I will use your definition of “call + a bet the size of the pot after the call” from now on as PSR.

Will
@ Tue Jul 03, 2007 03:54:03 PM
10

Hi there,

I’ve been thinking about this move lately and doing some rough theoretical calculations to help me justify the move as a +EV move in my head.

My question is, as this seems to be a play that what I’m assuming can be quite high variance, I’m just wondering what size bankroll you should have before you incorporate it as a standard part of your strategy?

I’m not sure how to go about calculating something like this or I would do it myself.

Will.

Ed Miller
@ Tue Jul 03, 2007 04:01:53 PM
11

Will,

My thoughts on your question are more or less expressed by this post:

http://www.notedpokerauthority.com/qa/qa-76-stop-waiting-for-better-spots-to-get-your-money-in.html

I don’t think this is a particularly “high variance” play, at least not compared to many other good no-limit plays. If you are playing so high compared to your bankroll that you are constantly thinking about how not to get stacked, I think you should move down or buy in for less in your current games.

Will
@ Tue Jul 03, 2007 04:22:42 PM
12

I’ve read that yeah and I understand what you’re saying.

I was just assuming that due to it being quite possible to run poor and miss your draws more often than the expected percentage and the possibility of not getting a fold as often as you would expect in general then you could, in theory, be down a quite a few BI due to this play, in the short term.

I’m not that worried about my BR as I’m still playing micro. Just thought that I would inquire about your thoughts. I guess I’m being a bit weak and thinking about what I could lose rather than what I could win.

Thanks for your reply anyway. Will.

Ilkka Kokkarinen
@ Tue Jul 03, 2007 04:38:55 PM
13

Is this pretty much the technique of “Big Online Winner” described by Phil Gordon in the Green Book?

I had some problems with it, at least the way it was described as “unbeatable” in Gordon’s book, and wrote about it in my post “Add it up“. Namely, when you mix up your play in that you go all-in with draws and flopped sets so that your opponent’s don’t know which one it is this time, draws are more common than sets since you can have a set in 3 different ways, but a draw in perhaps 6 to 16 ways, depending on whether it is suited.

Bill Tucker
@ Thu Jul 05, 2007 01:25:35 PM
14

This may be too broad a question, but I would like to see something written on defining bets;i.e. situations, size of bet, which streets,interpretation of action that follows. If you can refer me to sources in any books, I would appreciate it.

Bill

James
@ Wed Jan 09, 2008 09:55:37 PM
15

Just felt compelled to say that I just found this site and I’m astonished at how good it is. Nice one Ed

16

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