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A Few Loosely Connected Thoughts

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The New Book

Today marks an important internal deadline for our new small stakes no-limit hold’em book. It’s the day that we’re completely finished writing. Now we just need to edit (though we’ve done a fair amount of that already), proofread, and typeset/lay it out. I’m not completely sure how long that process will take, but it shouldn’t be too long. The book will be available to buy as an e-book almost immediately after we’ve put the finishing touches on it… we don’t want to delay release to wait for paper printing and shipping. This book has been “coming soon” for longer than I’d have liked, but now that the writing is officially wrapped up, we’re really almost near the finish line. More details soon.

Find A New Bluff And A New Value Bet Every Session

When I play small stakes no-limit, I spend a lot of time observing how the regular players play. Almost universally, I think they miss bluffs and value bets, particularly on the river. A lot of those misses, I think, can be put down to tunnel vision. Once you get to the river you already have played most of the hand and have a good sense of where you stand. You’re trying to get to showdown. You’re trying to catch a draw. You’re hoping a draw doesn’t come in, and so forth. In some ways, however, “knowing where you stand” is another way of saying that you’re entering the river with preconceptions about how to play it. Add those preconceptions in with the emotions of seeing a river card that you may or may not like, and often people don’t think too clearly on the river and just end up going with the obvious.

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28 Responses to “A Few Loosely Connected Thoughts”

@ Mon Feb 09, 2009 01:38:34 PM

highly anticipating the new book! congrats on finishing up the writing.

Gaston Jeremy
@ Mon Feb 09, 2009 01:54:47 PM

I just ranted yesterday (“Getting stacked”) about my tilt problem, nice to see Ed addressing this problem in this article, that’s really what I would want more in this forum – advice on about how to avoid/control tilt etc.

Can’t wait for Ed’s next book either, he makes concepts so much easier
to comphrehend.

@ Mon Feb 09, 2009 05:14:09 PM

Ed>”Remember there’s no such thing as ‘running bad.’ There’s only ‘ran bad.'”

This is so true, and something that everyone who plays games of chance must understand.

I remember when I found out that the profit the casinos make on the Roulette wheel went up by something like 20% when they put up the board that shows the past history of the game. People started saying “Oh look, the last 4 spins came up black” and immediately bet on red, because red is “overdue”. Or they say “4 hasn’t come up in ages” and bet on 4.

I was flabbergasted.

The wheel has no memory, and the cards have no memory either. The past influences the present only if you let it, i.e. if you go on tilt.

@ Tue Feb 10, 2009 07:52:30 AM

Tommy Angelo has a great essay in his book The Elements of Poker on the art of quitting. I highly recommend it for anyone looking to reduce their tilt.

I’ve also found that booking wins, any wins, after a bad spell improves my mood, my love life, and my confidence next time I play.

@ Tue Feb 10, 2009 12:14:18 PM

AFAIK this is will be the first poker e-book available, 2+2 would never have allowed it in fear of copyright infringements. Your ground breaking here ;-)

Also, is there any chance of an audio book version?

Little Old Lady
@ Tue Feb 10, 2009 01:29:04 PM

Actually there are a few poker ebooks out there: Bobbo fitos, Ryan Fee, and a couple of others. Someone else may have a more comprehensive list. But, you’re right–ebooks and audio books are not Mason Malmuth’s thing.

@ Wed Feb 11, 2009 04:14:51 AM

Hey Ed
great news will you make a audio version of the ebook too?

Ed Miller
@ Wed Feb 11, 2009 08:03:11 AM

Hey guys… great to see the interest.

As for an audio book version, I certainly wouldn’t rule it out, but we don’t have plans for it at the moment. Mainly we’re focused on getting the first version of the book out ASAP and then we’ll think about paper, audio, etc.

@ Wed Feb 11, 2009 03:37:05 PM

Hey Ed, can you give me your thoughts on how bad I’m running? I’m mostly playing loose 10 handed 50nl on ipoker and ongame. I’ve run very dry for making money off sets over the past 30k hands.

How far off the norm are these results?



Ed Miller
@ Wed Feb 11, 2009 04:01:33 PM


You’re definitely running bad on those sets. You expect to flop a set 1 in about 8.5 times. I don’t know for sure how many std devs you are running below average, but I’d guess that, while bad, it’s not THAT out of the ordinary.

@ Thu Feb 12, 2009 02:16:11 PM

Hi Ed,

May I know the price difference between the ebook and the paper book if there is any?


Ed Miller
@ Thu Feb 12, 2009 02:23:59 PM


At the moment we don’t have plans in place for a paper book. We might well do one, but it probably won’t come out for months after the release of the e-book. So, for the moment, consider this project e-book only.

And we don’t have any solid pricing plans at the moment. But if you want to get the book as cheaply as possible, definitely stay subscribed to the website here… we’ll probably run a pricing promotion upon release or soon thereafter such that regular readers of NPA, subscribers to Stox, and so forth will get a price break if they buy early and during the promotion. I can’t guarantee that because, as I said, we don’t have solid plans. But I think it’s likely we’ll do it that way.

We’ve never had to handle the publishing side of books before, so we’re working things out as best as we can.

The Leopard
@ Thu Feb 12, 2009 02:59:09 PM

As long as you don’t charge $1,850 Ed :-)

S. Just
@ Thu Feb 12, 2009 03:28:19 PM

Since you’re finished writing can we expect the TOC to be shared soon?

Ed Miller
@ Thu Feb 12, 2009 03:44:46 PM

Yes, the TOC is final and I’ll post it soon.

@ Thu Feb 12, 2009 08:44:36 PM

Thanks Ed! I learn so much from your articles — you’re a gem!

@ Fri Feb 13, 2009 12:41:02 AM


I’m probably not the only one who has never before bought an e-book. How does that work? I guess we will be able to download a file (or be abel to open it) once we paid. Can I transfer and read that file on more than one computer (i.e. my laptop & my desktop)? Can I print it? How will you protect the file from being copied, shared etc. (aren’t e-books risky in terms of “black” copies starting to float around?)?

I appreciate that you try to get the book out to us as quickly as possible!

P.S. For the next book: try to publish it as a brain upload MATRIX style… :)

@ Fri Feb 13, 2009 10:06:17 AM

check out the free downloadable e-book on 6-max cash games at http://www.ryanfee.com for an example. it’s a downloadable, printable, and transferable .pdf file (need adobe reader to view).

ed can give you the specifics of his book, but this will help you out in the meantime.

@ Fri Feb 13, 2009 10:08:44 AM

i’m guessing the “your comment is awaiting moderation” disclaimer is due to the recent spam problem on the site?

Ed Miller
@ Fri Feb 13, 2009 10:37:05 AM




Ya.. the spam problem isn’t really recent though… the site is hit with a never-ending supply of spam every day. My spam filtering software usually catches most of it (along with a few false positives… sorry about that guys) but sometimes the spammers start getting through it for a few days at a time.

Your comment probably got flagged b/c of the link. No worries.

@ Fri Feb 13, 2009 10:40:49 AM

thanks man…really looking forward to reading the new book.


@ Fri Feb 13, 2009 10:15:58 PM


When I attempt to grab the 6 max book, I get this error:

Sorry, the account “ryanfee” exists in our records but is currently not active. Please push the “back” button on your web browser and notify the website owner of this message.”

any ideas?


Can’t wait for the new book.

The Leopard
@ Sat Feb 14, 2009 02:16:35 AM
@ Sat Feb 14, 2009 04:32:10 AM


here is an updated link. be sure to have amazon reader installed prior to visiting link.


@ Sat Feb 14, 2009 08:07:27 PM

The Leopard and Vb_Rounder,

Thank you so much.. worked perfect.


Any ETA on the TOC?

@ Sat Mar 14, 2009 10:11:39 AM

I wonder if you’ve read the Cole South book or Bobo book or listened to AE Jone’s lecture series. Will your new book be covering any of the same territory? (In a hopefully more cost effective way.) Thanks.

no tilt play
@ Mon Mar 30, 2009 09:09:39 PM

More info on the books please, I really want to know what is in those super expensive books but just pay a lot less for it :)


[…] sido el volumen 2 del Profesional No Limit Hold’em. Podéis ver en esta entrada de su blog Noted Poker Authority que comenta al respecto. El libro saldrá primero bajo la forma de un e-book. Yo apenas puedo […]

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