Ed Miller

Noted Poker Authority is a poker advice column written by Ed Miller, author of four poker books and four poker DVDs, with sales of over 150,000 copies. He has helped thousands with his professional Texas Hold'em tips and strategy. Want Ed to answer your question? Post your query on the message board.

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Introduction To The Free Showdown Play

Having position bestows an enormous advantage. But to make the most of the advantage, you have to employ what I call tactics of ambiguous aggression. You make plenty of bets and raises in position. Sometimes those bets and raises imply a strong hand, and they signify more bets and raises to come. Other times those bets and raises are bluffs or semi-bluffs. And other times still, the bets and raises represent posturing from a fundamentally weak hand.

The free showdown play is a terrific tool that falls into the third category – it’s mostly positional posturing. Here’s how it works. You are heads-up, in position on the turn. Your opponent bets. You raise, intending that money to be the last you put in the pot. If your opponent reraises, you’ll fold. If he calls and checks, you’ll check behind. If he calls and bets the river, you intend to fold, though sometimes that decision can get complicated. You can use the play in both limit and no limit, though it takes a slightly different form between the games. Here’s a limit example:

You have T :heart: T :spade: . You raise preflop, and the big blind calls. The flop comes Q :spade: 9 :spade: 5 :club: . Your opponent checks, you bet, and he raises. He plays aggressively on the flop, so the check-raise certainly doesn’t mean you’re beaten. You think he would check-raise with any pair and a straight or flush draw. You call. The turn is the 3 :club: . He bets the turn, and you raise. It’s a free showdown play, so you plan to fold to a 3-bet, and you plan to check it down on the river.

Like any play in poker, the free showdown play is perfect in some situations and poorly-suited for others. It has strengths and weaknesses, and you should use it in situations that play well to its strengths.

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Three No-Limit Realities

Eyewitness accounts are notoriously unreliable. An image enters the eye and hits the back of the retina. Almost immediately the brain goes to work trying to fill in the blanks. Was only half of a face in view? Just the back of a head? The brain seamlessly fills in the missing information, creating an image of what the entire person should look like. This process works out well enough to get us through everyday life, but it’s simply not reliable enough to meet a “beyond a reasonable doubt” standard. Many of the things we “see” never actually existed. They are merely the creative products of an active human brain.

No-limit players can be similarly tricked by their eyes and brains. Any poker writer will tell you to observe your game – that important information is available everywhere if you’re disciplined enough to look for it. It’s true enough. But our brains don’t dispassionately catalog data. Every morsel of information is automatically run through a series of cognitive filters to determine its significance and context. Two players can watch the same game and come to quite different conclusions. They both see the same raw data, but they each make sense of it their own way.

I’d like to offer you three no-limit realities. You can verify them by observing a game and logging events with a pen and paper. They have strategic significance. Yet many players play as if the opposite of these realities were true. I think their brains are tricking them.

Most Pots Never Reach Showdown

Unless you play in a crazy, loose game, most pots won’t reach the showdown. In many games far more than half the pots are won without showdown. Often the turn is the critical round: A good-sized turn bet will win a lot of pots. What’s the significance?

You can clean up betting the flop and turn. You don’t need a hand. You don’t even need a draw. You just need to bet. Sometimes one bet will do. Sometimes you’ll need two. They can’t be wimpy $20 bets into $200 pots. You have to put some oomph into it. But it works in nearly every no-limit game.

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Small Stakes No-Limit Hold’em Coming Out Tomorrow!

The day is nearly upon us. Small Stakes No-Limit Hold’em comes out tomorrow! If you haven’t preordered it yet, go do it right now.

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Small Stakes No-Limit Hold’em Release in One Week

The big day is just one week away! Small Stakes No-Limit Hold’em, the affordable no-limit hold’em e-book, is coming out one week from today on June 16.

We now have a cover.

Small Stakes No-Limit Hold'em Cover

And updated since I last posted it, here is the final table of contents. You can learn more about the e-book by reading the Small Stakes No-Limit Hold’em FAQ.

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Words From A Backer

Most of the online casinos don't offer Texas Hold'em on the their sites. To win a community poker game, player needs to apply more strategies than playing some "unbeatable" games such as slots or roulette.


Preorder Small Stakes No-Limit Hold’em Now!

The affordable poker e-book Small Stakes No-Limit Hold’em by Ed Miller, Sunny Mehta, and Matt Flynn is almost here. Just two weeks until release on June 16, 2009!

Preordering is now open.

A few things:

  • Buy the book right now. Yes, the preorder period lasts two weeks, but don’t put it off. You’re at a computer. You’re thinking about it. Lock in your order now. Buy right now.
  • If you have questions about the book, check out the Small Stakes No-Limit Hold’em FAQ. We answer a lot of stuff in there. If you have further questions, feel free to contact us.
  • We have a forum on the book website that is the best place to connect with all the authors with questions about the book. If you comment here, I’ll probably be the only one to see it. All three authors will be on the forums to talk about the book. So definitely visit the forums.
  • If you contact me privately, please be patient for a response. These two weeks until release is going to be a crazy time for me and I can unfortunately be a little slow even in the best of circumstances.

Thanks everyone for all the support, and I hope the book knocks your socks off.

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Answering Two Questions About The New Book

I’m really excited because I’ve been getting a lot of emails since my last post went up expressing interest in preordering Small Stakes No-Limit Hold’em. I really appreciate your interest, and I hope the book knocks your socks off.

In particular, people have been asking two questions. I’m in a ...

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Small Stakes No-Limit Hold’em: Preordering Starts June 2

Small Stakes No-Limit Hold’em is soon to be released upon the world!

Preordering will start Tuesday, June 2 and last for two weeks until the release date of June 16. During preordering you can buy the affordable poker e-book for $39.95 – 60% off the regular price of $99.95.

In the ...

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Pocket Kings Flop An Ace… Again

It happens to us all more times than we’d like to count. We build a nice pot with pocket kings and then the flop comes and… BAM! There’s the ace. The way you handle it depends a lot on your opponents, the stack sizes, and more. Let’s look at a submitted by one of my readers:

We’re at the final table of a live no-limit hold’em tournament: nine players remain, six places pay. I have a stack of around 14BB, which is above average, when I’m dealt K-K in the big blind. There are two limpers ahead of me, and I raise to a total of 5BB. One of the limpers calls. He’s a calling station and seems to call any raise once he’s limped, and has got this far by mostly hitting his hands. After the call, my remaining stack is around the size of the pot, and his is around 3BB less than mine. The flop is A-x-x and I’m out of position. What next?

Given that my opponent has previously called pre-flop raises with holdings such as unsuited medium connectors, I’m unable to gauge how likely it is that he holds an ace. I’ve also seen him bet weak draws, so if I check and he bets I’m still not convinced I’m beaten. A small bet would almost certainly be called, and would also commit me.

What happened is that I pushed and he called, showing A-2 off-suit. Against another player I would have given more consideration to retreating after the flop and saving my

My reader didn’t write the last word, but I think we can fill in the blank. Tournaments add an extra level of poker analysis, and they add an extra level of poker psychology too.

Analytically, tournaments are different from cash games because you aren’t trying to win chips, you are trying to finish in a certain place. How you play various situations can vary widely depending on the prize structure. If six places pay, but first gets 50 percent, then it often pays to gamble and try to win tops. If the places pay about equally, though, then it’s generally better to be cautious and try guarantee a spot in one of the later places. You didn’t specify the prize structure, but it would have to be quite out of the ordinary to justify not playing your pocket kings.

Psychologically, tournaments multiply the natural ups and downs of poker many times over. You don’t just lose a hand for a few big blinds. You get knocked out! You don’t just win a few bucks, you win first place! This psychological layer makes people question themselves on even the most mundane situations.

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Small Stakes No-Limit Hold’em Excerpt: How Far Should Bill Go To Unbalance His Line?

Today we completed all the editing on the new e-book Small Stakes No-Limit Hold’em. This is a big milestone. The book is now final. All we have left to do is layout (basically make it look pretty) and then a final proofreading pass to make sure the prettying process didn’t break anything.

Editing took a few weeks longer than we anticipated, mainly due to complications from having three authors. But it’s done. Here’s what to expect now:

  • In about a week we’ll announce a firm release date. Release will likely be in or about the first half of June.
  • We will be offering a variety of payment methods. If we don’t offer a method that is convenient for you, you can email us and we will work something out.

I’ll make all the important announcements here, so if you’re reading this post, you’re in the right place.

And now for today’s excerpt from the section on Range Balancing.

How Far Should Bill Go [To Unbalance His Line]?

How far does Bill need to go to fix his unbalanced line? Unfortunately, there is no math answer to this problem. Too much depends on opponents, game conditions, and what street you are on. However, there are a few guidelines to follow.

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Beat The Rake

Almost everyone is familiar with a per-hand rake. In each pot, the house takes out a few dollars as its cut. In live play, this rake is often taken $1 for every $10 in the pot, capped at $4 per pot (in the United States), So if the final pot is $22, they’ll take $2 in rake. If it’s $168, they’ll take $4, because $4 is the cap.

Sometimes, especially in higher stakes games, the house will take a time charge in lieu of a rake. This is a fixed fee that you pay every time a new dealer sits down (every half hour). In Atlantic City, the $1-$2 no-limit game typically has a $4 capped per-hand rake, while the $2-$5 no-limit game typically has a $5 per half hour time charge

Sometimes the players will agree to play time pots instead of paying the time charge. In this variation, the time charge for the whole table will be taken out of the first pot in each half hour to reach a specified size. For instance, say you’re playing $10-$20 no-limit, and the time charge is $7 per person per half hour. At a ten player table, the total time charge each half hour is $70. If you’re playing time pots, then that entire $70 might be removed as a one-time monster rake from the first pot that reaches $300.

Naturally, time pots make more sense in high-stakes games than low-stakes ones. If you’re playing $1-$2 no-limit, and the time charge is $5 per person per half hour, it wouldn’t make much sense to take $50 out of the first pot to reach, say, $200, because no pot might reach that much the whole half hour. At low stakes, the house’s cut is typically a much larger percentage of final pot sizes than it is at high stakes, an observation that brings us to today’s question from one of my readers.

Is my 1-2NL and 2-5NL Hold ‘em games at my local casino not profitable? Is the casino ripping everyone off?

My local casino does not have a rake, but instead they collect time.

For 1-2NL they take no rake, but charge each player $5/half-hour to play.

For 2-5NL they take no rake, but charge each player $6/half-hour to play.

After doing some research it seems that a realistic winrate would be about $6 profit per 100 hands in a $1-$2 game. It would take about three hours to play 100 hands and win $6 on average, but in that time the casino would have taken $30 in time charges.

So in fact is my casino ripping people off?

Are they ripping you off? I wouldn’t put it quite that way. But that time charge in $1-$2 is a bit on the high side. Nevertheless, I think your $1-$2 and $2-$5 games should still be eminently beatable.

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